I don't know what kind of "bottom" you guys are expecting.. Are people going to get 20% raises on Jan 1, 2009? There are 2 economies now (Kerry was right), what Mkgilstrap is describing - discretionary spending and consumer confidence, how are you going to bottom that in 6 months with consumer debt growing, and earning power not keeping up with inflation? Especially in food, energy, and non-discretionary consumables.
Don't forget about the $120 billion cut in US personal income in 2009 due to the idiotic tax rebates we are getting in 2008.
As far as the other economy, it never officially corrected enough to use the word "bottom". In fact if you get something that "looks" like a recovery of some sort in 2009, KGBman is right - expect a real recession to follow. There's nothing to recover from - US corporate profits are the highest they've ever been, minus the financial sector. That (financial sector) will recover bigtime. GDP never contracted - its standing at a historic record and growing every quarter.
What "bottom"?
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"Я это понимаю на рациональном уровне, но не могу принять на эмоциональном" --Бизнесмен Борис Березовский